World Cup 2026 Match Tips: 22 June

Four Matchday 2 fixtures headline the 22 June (ET) programme — and for Aussie punters that means an overnight-into-Tuesday watch on AEST. Two of the tournament’s heavyweights, Argentina and France, are heavily fancied to take care of business, while the most genuinely balanced market of the day sits in Group I. Below is a systematic, match-by-match breakdown with decimal odds, AEST kick-off times and one reasoned PUNT26 pick per game.

Four fixtures, four markets — the 22 June card laid out for Aussie punters.

Contents

• The card at a glance (AEST)
• Argentina vs Austria (Group J)
• France vs Iraq (Group I)
• Norway vs Senegal (Group I)
• Jordan vs Algeria (Group J)
• How to read these decimal prices
• FAQ

The card at a glance

Argentina vs Austria

The defending champions arrive unbeaten and on an eight-match winning run, and the market makes them strong favourites at 1.58. Austria are no pushovers — they beat Jordan 3–1 and won their opener — but the model numbers point one way, with Argentina’s win probability around 65% against roughly 14% for Austria. The sub-plot is enormous: Lionel Messi sits one goal from breaking Miroslav Klose’s all-time men’s World Cup scoring record, a storyline we cover in full in our Messi record preview.

PUNT26 pick: Argentina to win. At 1.58 the price is fair rather than generous; punters chasing more juice may prefer to fold Argentina into a multi rather than back them as a short single.

France vs Iraq

This is as one-sided as the board gets. France are 1.08 to win, with Opta-style projections putting them near 88.5% and Iraq, at the World Cup for the first time since 1986 and beaten 4–1 by Norway in their opener, given roughly 3%. Kylian Mbappé — already France’s all-time top scorer — could even bring up his 100th cap. A France win secures Round-of-32 passage.

PUNT26 pick: France to win, but only as a multi anchor. At 1.08 there is no standalone value; the better Aussie angle is using France to prop up an accumulator rather than tying up stake on a near-certainty.

Norway vs Senegal

The pick of the day for a genuine contest. Norway have won 11 straight competitive matches and Erling Haaland has scored in 11 consecutive Norway games, yet Senegal’s quality keeps this close: the market reads 2.04 / 3.41 / 3.22 and projections give Norway about 45%, the draw 25%, and Senegal roughly 30%. With two well-matched sides and knockout implications, this is where the card rewards a closer look.

PUNT26 pick: Lean Norway, but respect the draw. With a near-coin-flip feel between the two outright results, the safer structure is a double chance or a small stake rather than a confident single.

Jordan vs Algeria

Algeria are favourites at 1.47 to bounce back from a 0–3 loss to Argentina, with Riyad Mahrez expected to return to the XI. Jordan, beaten 1–3 by Austria, are rank outsiders at 6.24 but did score their first-ever World Cup goal through Ali Olwan. This has the shape of a game Algeria are expected to control.

PUNT26 pick: Algeria to win. The 1.47 is short but reflects a clear gap in quality; cautious punters can pair it with a goals market rather than backing it alone.

How to read these decimal prices

Decimal odds tell you the total return per dollar staked, including your stake: multiply your stake by the price to get the payout. A price of 2.00 is an even-money bet (50% implied probability); anything under 2.00 is odds-on and anything above is odds-against. For Aussie punters comparing books, the implied probability is simply 1 divided by the decimal price — a quick way to spot which selections the market rates most likely. For the full menu of markets beyond match result, see our World Cup betting markets overview.

Tips are opinion, not a guarantee. Odds are decimal and were accurate as of 22 June 2026; they will have moved by kick-off. Gamble responsibly — 18+. Compare current prices in AUD across our partner books, including BetiBet, ZotaBet, WinRolla and Boomerang Bet.